澳大利亚与犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌发生相关的人口统计学和环境因素:一项回顾性匹配病例对照分析 机翻

Demographic and environmental factors associated with canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma development in Australia: a retrospective matched case-control analysis

中文关键词(术语机标,非人工翻译):淋巴瘤/肿瘤

期刊Veterinary Research Communications
发表日期2026-10-24
物种犬
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11259-026-11595-5
PMID42925354

摘要

Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) is a common canine skin tumour that occurs more frequently in high ultraviolet (UV) environments. Despite Australia's consistently high UV exposure, large-scale epidemiological studies on canine cSCC are limited. This study investigates the frequency of canine cSCC in Australia, its geographic patterns relative to UV index, and its association with animal-level risk factors. A matched case-control study was conducted using records from the VetCompass database from 1st January 2014 to 31st December 2023. In total, 295 histopathologically confirmed cSCC cases and 1,180 matched controls were included. Frequency statistics of cSCC and animal-level risk factors associated with cSCC were analysed and spatial patterns were mapped. The highest proportions of cases were recorded in Queensland (39.7%) and New South Wales (39.3%), with increased frequency along coastal areas of both states. cSCC cases occurred most frequently on body regions caudal to the thorax (54.9%), in senior dogs (58.6%), in desexed males (45.1%), and in dogs with white mixed coat colour (43.7%). In the final multivariable model, senior (seven to 11 years old) and geriatric (12 + years old) dogs had significantly higher odds of cSCC than mature (two to six years old) dogs (odds ratio = 7.4 and 4.8, respectively; p ≤ 0.001). Risk was also markedly elevated in Dalmatians, bulldogs, Staffordshire terriers, and schnauzers compared with mixed breeds. Dogs with white or white mixed coats had higher odds of cSCC than dark-coated dogs (p ≤ 0.001). cSCC demonstrated anatomical and geographic patterns consistent with chronic UV exposure, with age, breed, and coat pigmentation emerging as risk factors.

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研究 兽医研究通讯 (2027) 51:20 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11259-026-11595-5 Rachel Allavena r.allavena@uq.edu.au 1 昆士兰大学兽医学院,Gatton Qld 4343,Gatton Qld 4343,澳大利亚 摘要 皮肤鳞状细胞癌(cSCC)是一种常见的犬皮肤肿瘤,在高紫外线(UV)环境中发生率更高。尽管澳大利亚紫外线暴露持续较高,但关于犬cSCC的大规模流行病学研究有限。本研究调查了澳大利亚犬cSCC的发生频率、其相对于紫外线指数的地理分布模式及其与动物层面风险因素的关联。采用匹配病例对照研究,使用VetCompass数据库2014年1月1日至2023年12月31日的记录。共纳入295例经组织病理学确诊的cSCC病例和1,180例匹配对照。分析了cSCC的频率统计及与cSCC相关的动物层面风险因素,并绘制了空间分布模式。病例比例最高的地区为昆士兰州(39.7%)和新南威尔士州(39.3%),两州沿海地区频率增加。cSCC病例最常发生于胸廓尾侧的身体区域(54.9%)、老年犬(58.6%)、去势雄性犬(45.1%)以及白色混色被毛犬(43.7%)。在最终多变量模型中,老年犬(7至11岁)和高龄犬(12岁及以上)发生cSCC的几率显著高于成年犬(2至6岁)(比值比分别为7.4和4.8;p ≤ 0.001)。与混种犬相比,斑点犬、斗牛犬、斯塔福德郡梗犬和雪纳瑞犬的风险也显著升高。白色或白色混色被毛犬发生cSCC的几率高于深色被毛犬(p ≤ 0.001)。cSCC的解剖学和地理分布模式与慢性紫外线暴露一致,年龄、品种和被毛色素沉着为风险因素。关键词 澳大利亚 · 犬 · 皮肤鳞状细胞癌 · 空间流行病学 · 紫外线辐射 · VetCompass 收稿日期:2026年7月21日 / 接受日期:2026年10月21日 © 作者 2026 与澳大利亚犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌发生相关的人口统计学和环境因素:一项回顾性匹配病例对照分析 Jingwei Jennifer Zhang 1 · Haileyesus Dejene 1 · José Luis Granados-Soler 1 · Joerg Henning 1 · Rachel Allavena 1 (dos Santos et al. 2023; Łojszczyk et al. 2021; Seok and Lee 2024)。它约占全球犬皮肤肿瘤的5%,在热带国家患病率较高,具有高局部侵袭性但低转移潜能(Alves et al. 2022; Bastianello 1983; Chikweto et al. 2011; Kok et al. 2019; Kukolj et al. 2021; Mukaratirwa et al. 2005; Santos et al. 2020)。尽管死亡率较低,但其患病率和临床影响使cSCC成为兽医实践中重要的皮肤病学和肿瘤学关注问题。紫外线是犬cSCC发病机制中已确立的致癌因素。全球多项研究描述了慢性太阳辐射暴露与犬鳞状细胞癌(SCC)发生之间的关联(Hargis et al. 1977; Madewell et al. 1981; Nikula et al. 1992; Subapriya et al. 2025)。在地理上,较高的 引言 肿瘤占犬死亡原因的15%至30%,是疾病相关死亡的主要原因(Brønden et al. 2010)。近年来其发病率有所增加,在许多国家皮肤肿瘤被报道为犬最常见的肿瘤类型(Dobson et al. 2002; Gamlem et al. 2008; Grüntzig et al. 2015; Śmiech et al. 2023)。皮肤鳞状细胞癌(cSCC)是一种起源于皮肤角质形成细胞的恶性肿瘤

犬鳞状细胞癌(SCC)的发病率常见于平均紫外线强度高的地区(García-Reynoso等,2025)。澳大利亚由于靠近赤道,接收的紫外线辐射量非常高(Gies等,2004)。紫外线辐射可通过澳大利亚辐射防护与核安全局(ARPANSA)制定的紫外线指数进行定量测量。正午时分,紫外线指数测量值超过11被视为极端(Wright和Norval,2021)。澳大利亚夏季高峰时段测得的平均紫外线指数通常大于12至14,北部地区可能达到16至17(Gies等,2004)。然而,1983年比较热带昆士兰与墨尔本犬SCC患病率的先前研究未能确定区域紫外线差异与cSCC患病率之间的明确联系(Ladds等,1983)。这一明显的不一致性凸显了进行更新分析审视的必要性。动物特异性人口学因素如年龄、品种和毛色影响cSCC的发生。尽管所有年龄的患者均可能发生cSCC,但受影响最严重的群体是成熟犬和老年犬(Er和Sutton,1989;Martins等,2022)。犬鳞状细胞癌患者的平均诊断年龄在七至九岁之间,不同研究间存在小幅差异(Bastianello,1983;dos Santos等,2023;Handrashekaraiah等,2011;Rothwell等,1987;Strafuss等,1976;Villamil等,2011)。另一方面,已鉴定出大量易感品种,但各研究间存在不一致。典型的高风险品种包括Dalmatians、Staffordshire bull terriers、schnauzers、Jack Russell terriers、bulldogs和Rottweilers,许多其他品种也偶有提及(dos Santos等,2023;Er和Sutton,1989;Fonti等,2025;Grüntzig等,2016;Kok等,2019;Rothwell等,1987;Tompkins等,2020;Villamil等,2011)。相反,boxers对SCC具有保护性(Fonti等,2025;Grüntzig等,2016)。先前研究还强调,犬SCC更易发生于毛发稀疏、无色素沉着的皮肤或白色毛被的动物,主要好发于腹侧和胁腹(dos Santos等,2023;Er和Sutton,1989;Hargis等,1977;Madewell等,1981;Rothwell等,1987;Willcox等,2019)。然而,偶尔也发现其他部位,如后肢和头部(Seok和Lee,2024;Strafuss等,1976)。总体而言,未记录到明确的性别易感性,尽管一项瑞士研究发现雌性比雄性疾病风险更低,另一项研究发现了肿瘤部位的性别相关差异(Er和Sutton,1989;Grüntzig等,2016;Kim等,2020;Mukaratirwa等,2005;Rothwell等,1987)。犬cSCC的其他潜在 Contributing 因素包括乳头状瘤病毒感染和既往光化性皮肤损伤(Medeiros-Fonseca等,2023;Willcox等,2019;Zaugg等,2005)。犬指(趾)部SCC虽被广泛归类于cSCC组,但具有不同的特性。它更具侵袭性、转移潜能更高,且更常见于深色毛被的大型和巨型犬品种,如schnauzers(Aupperle-Lellbach等,2023;Belluco等,2013;Cerezo-Echevarria等,2020;Madewell等,1982;O'Brien等,1992;Wobeser等,2007)。尽管SCC具有临床重要性,但澳大利亚产出的大规模研究非常有限,且大多数完成于数十年前。考虑到犬鳞状细胞癌在热带国家发病率较高,获取相关澳大利亚数据的机会对肿瘤病理学分析和临床疾病控制均具有高度价值(Alves等,2022)。鉴于先前研究假设内在因素(年龄、品种、毛色)和环境因素(紫外线暴露)均显著影响犬cSCC的发生,本研究旨在估计其在澳大利亚的发生频率,检查其地理分布及与紫外线指数水平的关联,描述其解剖分布,并鉴定与其发生相关的动物层面风险因素。材料与方法 数据来源 本研究数据提取自VetCompass Australia,该数据库收集了全国参与的全科兽医诊所和专科转诊医院的电子病历。使用特定检索词搜索VetCompass数据库,查找2014年1月1日至2023年12月31日期间录入的兽医记录。该数据库包含澳大利亚所有主要首府城市的临床记录,但Darwin和Hobart除外。从数据库获得的信息包括诊断时年龄(诊断日期减去出生日期)、性别(包括绝育状态)、毛色、品种、诊所邮编、统计区域代码以及肿瘤的解剖位置。病例选择与纳入标准 使用检索词及相应的缩写调整来识别经组织病理学诊断为cSCC的犬患者。初步检索从数据库中获得906条匹配记录,患者若在2014年1月1日至2023年12月31日期间经组织病理学诊断为cSCC则符合纳入条件。共有295只犬患者符合纳入标准并被选为病例(图1)。

1 3 第3页,共13页 20 《Veterinary Research Communications》(2027) 51:20 对照选择 若犬只在十年研究期内于VetCompass数据库中有临床记录,则符合作为对照的条件。对于每例cSCC病例,通过将就诊日期和诊所地点与在可比时间范围内录入的对照记录进行匹配,随机选取最多10只对照犬。医疗记录少于5条的对照犬被排除,重复记录及文档不完整的犬只亦被排除。这减少了可用对照犬的数量。因此,为每例病例选取4只匹配对照,最终本研究共选取1,180只对照犬(图2)。动物层面风险因素 动物层面风险因素包括年龄、品种、性别、绝育状态、毛色、肿瘤解剖部位以及具有相应紫外线水平的地理位置。若某风险因素信息缺失,则记为“未记录”。年龄 根据Harvey(2021)的分类方法,年龄分为0–1岁(幼犬及青年)、2–6岁(成年)、7–11岁(老年)和12岁以上(高龄)。由于0–1岁类别缺乏临床病例,将其从逻辑回归分析中排除,以获得更具代表性的结果。品种 本研究使用VetCompass数据库中记录的品种名称。命名高度相似的品种(如迷你贵宾/标准贵宾、迷你雪纳瑞/标准雪纳瑞/巨型雪纳瑞、英国斯塔福德郡斗牛梗/美国斯塔福德郡斗牛梗)被合并分组(如英国和美国斯塔福德郡斗牛梗均合并为斯塔福德郡斗牛梗),以便为风险因素分析形成更大的组别。同样,cSCC病例超过10例的纯种犬单独分析,而少于10例者则合并分组。混种犬作为一组单独分析。斗牛犬品种(美国斗牛犬、澳大利亚斗牛犬、英国斗牛犬、法国斗牛犬和约翰逊美国斗牛犬)亦合并进行风险因素分析。第二种品种分类方法基于Dogs Australia品种分组,用于对病例和对照个体进行描述性分析分类(Dogs Australia 2025)。在此分类中,犬只被分为杂交犬、玩具犬、梗犬、枪猎犬、猎犬、工作犬、实用犬和非运动犬。这一附加分类实现了交叉比较并有助于模式识别。性别与绝育状态 数据分析中使用VetCompass数据库记录的性别和绝育状态信息。相关分类包括雄性去势、雄性未去势、雌性去势和雌性未去势。毛色 毛色分类基于Federation Cynologique Internationale犬只毛色标准化命名法进行(Denis 2009)。具体分组为白色(仅纯白色被毛的犬)、深色纯色(仅纯黑色或棕色被毛的犬)、白色混合(包括白色在内的混合毛色犬)和其他(所有其他被毛,包括其他纯色以及混合和修饰被毛)。此类分类考虑了先前已确定的与毛色和色素沉着相关的犬SCC风险。肿瘤部位 所有病例的肿瘤解剖部位分为头部、胸部、躯干(胸部尾侧)、肢体和指/趾甲床,任何其他部位(腹侧尾部、乳腺区域和下颌下区域)的肿瘤统一归为“其他”。地理位置 基于从VetCompass Australia数据库获得的地理信息,cSCC病例在两个地理层级进行汇总:澳大利亚州/领地层级和大首都城市统计区(GCCSA)层级。数据集包含与犬主人地理区域对应的统计区域二级(SA2)信息。因此,本研究使用的地理信息代表主人的居住区域,而非犬只接受兽医诊疗的兽医诊所所在地。SA2信息使病例能够按地理进行分组和汇总,随后聚合至州/领地和GCCSA层级。以这种方式分离数据便于比较全州和主要大都市区的模式。图2 对照组选择流程流程图

1 3 20 第4页,共13页《Veterinary Research Communications》(2027) 51:20 病例合并分组。混种犬作为一组单独分析。斗牛犬品种(美国斗牛犬、澳大利亚斗牛犬、英国斗牛犬、法国斗牛犬和约翰逊美国斗牛犬)亦合并进行风险因素分析。第二种品种分类方法基于Dogs Australia品种分组,用于对病例和对照个体进行描述性分析分类(Dogs Australia 2025)。在此分类中,犬只被分为杂交犬、玩具犬、梗犬、枪猎犬、猎犬、工作犬、实用犬和非运动犬。这一附加分类实现了交叉比较并有助于模式识别。性别与绝育状态 数据分析中使用VetCompass数据库记录的性别和绝育状态信息。相关分类包括雄性去势、雄性未去势、雌性去势和雌性未去势。毛色 毛色分类基于Federation Cynologique Internationale犬只毛色标准化命名法进行(Denis 2009)。具体分组为白色(仅纯白色被毛的犬)、深色纯色(仅纯黑色或棕色被毛的犬)、白色混合(包括白色在内的混合毛色犬)和其他(所有其他被毛,包括其他纯色以及混合和修饰被毛)。此类分类考虑了先前已确定的与毛色和色素沉着相关的犬SCC风险。肿瘤部位 所有病例的肿瘤解剖部位分为头部、胸部、躯干(胸部尾侧)、肢体和指/趾甲床,任何其他部位(腹侧尾部、乳腺区域和下颌下区域)的肿瘤统一归为“其他”。地理位置 基于从VetCompass Australia数据库获得的地理信息,cSCC病例在两种地理层级进行汇总:澳大利亚州/领地层级和大首都城市统计区(GCCSA)层级。数据集包含与犬主人地理区域对应的统计区域二级(SA2)信息。因此,本研究使用的地理信息代表主人的居住区域,而非犬只接受兽医诊疗的兽医诊所所在地。SA2信息使病例能够按地理进行分组和汇总,随后聚合至州/领地和GCCSA层级。以这种方式分离数据便于比较全州和主要大都市区的模式。图2 对照组选择流程流程图

1 3 第5页,共13页 20 兽医研究通讯 (2027) 51:20 紫外线暴露代理指标 为确定紫外线暴露代理指标,解剖部位被分类为紫外线暴露部位(头部、四肢、胸部及胸部尾侧的身体)或非紫外线暴露部位(趾部/甲床及其他部位),这反映了犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌(cSCC)公认的好发于阳光暴露、色素浅淡或毛发稀疏皮肤的倾向(Vilar-Saavedra and Kitchell 2014; Veterinary Society of Surgical Oncology 2025)。对于基于被毛的紫外线易感性,白色及白色混合被毛被归类为高度紫外线易感,而深色纯色及其他被毛颜色被归类为较低紫外线易感,这是基于色素对紫外线辐射的保护作用(Veterinary Society of Surgical Oncology 2025)。随后应用此紫外线代理分类来解释患病犬中病变解剖分布和毛色特征的频率模式。此外,为将临床数据与环境紫外线水平进行比较,将接诊病例的诊所位置按澳大利亚主要城市(阿德莱德、布里斯班、黄金海岸、墨尔本、珀斯和悉尼)分组。这些城市以外的诊所被排除,此分析得到n = 135。城市级紫外线指数数据来自ARPANSA,并与相应的病例和对照位置匹配。提取每个城市所有可用的正午(12:00 PM)紫外线指数值,并使用平均正午紫外线指数作为代表性环境暴露测量。紫外线指数类别遵循ARPANSA量表:低(1–2)、中等(3–5)、高(6–7)、很高(8–10)和极高(11+)(Australian Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety Agency 2025)。统计分析 描述性分析在R中进行(R Core Team 2025)。病例和对照的人口学和临床变量使用tidyr进行数据重塑(Wickham et al. 2025)、tidyverse进行数据操作和可视化(Wickham et al. 2019)、DescTools进行描述性统计(包括比例和95%置信区间)进行汇总(Signorell 2025)。分类变量以计数和百分比及95%置信区间报告。cSCC频率的空间分布在QGIS 3.20中按澳大利亚统计区域二级(SA2)区域绘制。为进一步表征空间变异,在R 4.5.1中使用raster()(Pebesma 2018)和ks()(Duong 2025)应用核平滑。这产生了cSCC频率的连续平滑表面,允许检查更广泛的空间趋势。带宽使用插入法(Hpi)估计,然后加倍以在最终核密度估计中提供额外平滑。最终栅格输出显示了每个SA2区域的估计空间强度。风险因素分析在个体犬水平上使用匹配病例对照设计进行,每个cSCC病例与四只对照犬配对(Henning et al. 2009)。使用survival::clogit()(Therneau 2024)进行条件逻辑回归,以评估与cSCC相关的风险因素,应用适合匹配数据的条件似然(Gail et al. 1981)。潜在风险因素包括性别、性别/绝育状态、品种类别、毛色组和年龄组,并使用broom::tidy()处理(Robinson et al. 2025)。模型输出以比值比(OR)及95%置信区间(CI)和p值呈现,使用gtsummary::tbl_regression(exponentiate = TRUE)(Sjoberg et al. 2021)。在单变量分析中p ≤ 0.25的变量(Henning et al. 2009)被选入多变量建模。模型诊断包括嵌套模型的似然比检验和非嵌套模型比较的AIC/BIC。使用car包的方差膨胀因子(VIFs)评估多重共线性(Fox et al. 2024),VIF < 5作为可接受共线性的阈值(O’Brien 2007)。统计显著性定义为p ≤ 0.05。通过排除趾部/甲床SCC病例(n = 51)及其匹配对照并重复所有条件逻辑回归分析进行敏感性分析。结果 犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌病例的特征 在cSCC病例中,大多数为老年犬(58.6%;95% CI:53.0-64.1)。相当比例的病例还涉及去势雄性犬(45.1%;95% CI:39.5–50.8)、病例数少于10的品种(34.2%;95% CI:29.1–39.8)以及白色混合被毛颜色的犬(43.7%;95% CI:38.2–49.4)(表1)。本研究中共有48个犬品种(包括混合品种作为一个集体类别)被诊断为cSCC。病例比例最高的是混合品种犬(n = 83;28.1%),其次是斯塔福德郡斗牛梗(n = 48;16.3%)、斑点狗(n = 20;6.8%)和美国斗牛犬(n = 15;5.1%)(在线资源1)。cSCC最常见的位置是胸部尾侧的身体部位(54.9%;95% CI:49.2–60.5)(表2)。相比之下,频率最低的是标记为其他的类别,包括腹侧尾部、乳腺区域和下颌下区域(1.7%;95% CI:0.7–3.9)(表2)。

1 3 20 第6页,共13页《兽医研究通讯》(2027)51:20 澳大利亚犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌的空间分布 表3显示了cSCC病例在澳大利亚各州/领地和较大首府城市统计区的分布。病例比例最高的是昆士兰州(39.7%;95% CI:34.0-45.5)和新南威尔士州(39.3%;95% CI:33.7–45.2)。在较大首府地区层面,cSCC病例百分比最高的是昆士兰州其余地区(24.1%;95% CI:19.3–29.4),其次是新南威尔士州其余地区(22.7%;95% CI:18.1–27.9)、大悉尼地区(16.6%;95% CI:12.6–21.4)和大布里斯班地区(15.6%;95% CI:11.7–20.3)。在本研究中,澳大利亚共有110个SA2区域报告了cSCC病例。大多数病例发生在昆士兰州,其次是新南威尔士州和维多利亚州。此外,空间分析显示病例集中度在这些州的沿海地区呈强烈聚集,表明存在地理聚集性分布模式(图3)。同样,在线资源2中的核平滑频率图突出了昆士兰州和新南威尔士州沿海地区明显的热点区域,表明这些区域cSCC病例浓度较高。表4;图4展示了报告病例数最高的六个澳大利亚城市中报告的cSCC病例频率和年平均UV指数。黄金海岸和悉尼记录的cSCC病例数最高。所选城市的年平均UV指数各不相同,最高值出现在黄金海岸 表1 澳大利亚犬295例皮肤鳞状细胞癌病例的人口学特征 变量类别频率百分比(95% CI) 年龄成熟(2–6岁)6923.4(18.9–28.5) 老年(7–11岁)17358.6(53.0-64.1) 高龄(12岁及以上)5318.0(14.0-22.8) 性别雌性14348.5(42.8–54.2) 雄性15251.5(45.8–57.2) 绝育状态雌性未绝育144.8(2.9–7.8) 雌性已绝育12943.7(38.2–49.4) 雄性未绝育196.4(4.2–9.8) 雄性已绝育13345.1(39.5–50.8) 品种混种犬8328.1(23.3–33.5) 斗牛犬237.8(5.3–11.4) 大麦町犬206.8(4.4–10.2) 杰克罗素梗103.4(1.9–6.1) 其他病例数<10的纯种犬10134.2(29.1–39.8) 雪纳瑞犬103.4(1.9–6.1) 斯塔福德郡斗牛梗4816.3(12.5–20.9) 品种组杂交犬9431.8(26.8–37.4) 玩具犬41.4(0.5–3.4) 梗犬7324.8(20.2–29.9) 枪猎犬217.1(4.7–10.6) 猎犬186.1(3.9–9.4) 工作犬124.1(2.3–6.9) 实用犬289.5(6.7–13.4) 非运动犬4515.2(11.6–19.8) 毛色深色纯色299.8(6.9–13.8) 白色5017.0(13.1–21.7) 白色混合12943.7(38.2–49.4) 其他8729.5(24.6–34.9) CI:置信区间 表2 澳大利亚295只犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌在解剖部位的频率分布 解剖部位频率百分比(95% CI) 胸廓后方身体16254.9(49.2–60.5) 趾/甲床5117.3(13.4–22.0) 头部279.2(6.4–12.9) 四肢196.4(4.2–9.8) 未记录175.8(3.6-9.0) 胸部144.7(2.9–7.8) 其他51.7(0.7–3.9) CI:置信区间 表3 澳大利亚295例犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌病例按州/领地和较大首府城市统计区的分布 变量类别频率百分比(95% CI) 州/领地昆士兰州11739.7(34.0-45.5) 新南威尔士州11639.3(33.7–45.2) 维多利亚州3712.5(9.0-16.9) 澳大利亚首都领地103.4(1.6–6.2) 西澳大利亚州82.7(1.2–5.3) 南澳大利亚州72.4(0.9–4.8) 较大首府城市统计区昆士兰州其余地区7124.1(19.3–29.4) 新南威尔士州其余地区6722.7(18.1–27.9) 大悉尼地区4916.6(12.6–21.4) 大布里斯班地区4615.6(11.7–20.3) 大墨尔本地区3110.5(7.3–14.6) 澳大利亚首都领地103.4(1.6–6.2) 大珀斯地区82.7(1.2–5.3) 维多利亚州其余地区62.0(0.8–4.4) 大阿德莱德地区51.7(0.6–3.9) 南澳大利亚州其余地区20.7(0.1–2.4) CI:置信区间

1 3 第7页,共13页 20 《兽医研究通讯》(2027)51:20 和珀斯最高,墨尔本最低。散点图用于直观比较病例频率与平均UV指数水平;未进行关联性的统计检验。因此,这些发现应被解释为 表4 澳大利亚主要城市犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌病例频率(n = 135)和UV指数 城市频率百分比(95% CI)平均UV指数 黄金海岸3828.2(21.3–36.3)6.4 悉尼3828.2(21.3–36.3)5.4 墨尔本3122.9(16.7–30.8)4.6 布里斯班1511.1(6.9–17.5)6.3 珀斯85.9(3.0-11.3)6.4 阿德莱德53.7(1.6–8.4)5.6 CI:置信区间 图4 散点图显示报告犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌(cSCC)病例百分比与年平均UV指数之间的描述性比较,涉及报告病例数最高的六个澳大利亚城市(n = 135例)

图3 (a)澳大利亚和(b)昆士兰州、新南威尔士州和维多利亚州SA2区域犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌频率的空间分布

1 3 20 第8页,共13页《兽医研究通讯》(2027) 51:20 描述性观察,而非紫外线暴露与cSCC发生之间存在关联的证据。当使用ARPANSA紫外线暴露类别对城市进行分类时,所有城市均落在中等(UV 3–5)或高(UV 6–7)范围内,无一处于极高类别。与高紫外线水平(n = 61;45.2%)相比,中等紫外线水平下的观察比例略高(n = 74;54.8%)。风险因素分析 单变量条件回归分析表明,年龄是疾病风险的强预测因子。与成熟犬相比,老年犬发生cSCC的比值高5.7倍(95% CI:4.2–7.9),高龄犬高3.8倍(95% CI:2.5–5.7)(p ≤ 0.001)。与深色纯色被毛犬相比,白色被毛犬的比值高3.1倍(95% CI:1.8–5.2),白色混合色被毛犬高2.4倍(95% CI:1.5–3.7)(p ≤ 0.001)。此外,与混种犬相比,斑点犬(OR = 34.9;95% CI:10.2-120.3)和斗牛犬(OR = 14.7;95% CI:6.7–32.2)发生cSCC的比值显著更高,且这些关联具有统计学显著性(p ≤ 0.001)(表5)。为评估指(趾)部SCC对观察到的关联的潜在影响,在排除所有指(趾)部/甲床SCC病例(n = 51)及其匹配对照后进行了敏感性分析。单变量和多变量条件logistic回归分析结果分别见补充表S1和S2。结果与主要分析基本一致。在多变量最终模型中,年龄仍是cSCC发生的强预测因子。与成熟犬相比,老年犬发生cSCC的比值显著更高(OR = 7.4;95% CI:5.0-10.8),高龄犬亦然(OR = 4.8;95% CI:2.9–7.9)(p ≤ 0.001)。品种也与cSCC风险显著相关。与混种犬相比,斑点犬(OR = 25.7;95% CI:6.9–95.6)、斗牛犬(OR = 21.2;95% CI:8.4–53.7)、斯塔福德郡梗(OR = 8.5;95% CI:4.8–15.2)和雪纳瑞(OR = 7.1;95% CI:2.6–19.1)发生cSCC的比值显著更高,所有关联均具有统计学显著性(p ≤ 0.001)(表6)。讨论 皮肤鳞状细胞癌是一种重要的犬皮肤肿瘤,约占全球皮肤肿瘤的5%,据报道在热带地区患病率更高(Alves et al. 2022; Kukolj et al. 2021; Santos et al. 2020)。紫外线辐射是其发病机制中公认的致癌因素,导致表5 单变量条件回归分析结果,检验澳大利亚犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌与动物水平风险因素之间的关联 变量 类别 病例频率(%)(n = 295) 对照频率(%)(n = 1180) OR (95% CI) Wald统计量 p值 年龄 成熟(2–6岁)69 (9.0) 694 (91.0) 1 ---- 老年(7–11岁)173 (35.0) 321 (65.0) 5.7 (4.2–7.9) 10.5 < 0.001 高龄(12岁以上)53 (24.3) 165 (75.7) 3.8 (2.5–5.7) 6.1 < 0.001 性别 雌性143 (19.2) 601 (80.8) 1 ---- 雄性152 (20.8) 579 (79.2) 1.1 (0.9–1.4) 0.8 0.451 绝育状态 雌性未绝育14 (14.1) 85 (85.9) 1 ---- 雌性已绝育129 (20.0) 517 (80.0) 1.5 (0.8–2.8) 1.4 0.171 雄性未绝育19 (16.4) 97 (83.6) 1.2 (0.6–2.5) 0.5 0.643 雄性已绝育133 (21.7) 481 (78.3) 1.7 (0.9–3.1) 1.7 0.087 品种 混种犬83 (13.5) 531 (86.5) 1 ---- 斗牛犬23 (69.7) 10 (30.3) 14.7 (6.7–32.2) 6.7 < 0.001 斑点犬20 (87.0) 3 (13.0) 34.9 (10.2-120.3) 5.6 < 0.001 杰克罗素梗10 (23.8) 32 (76.2) 2.0 (0.9–4.3) 1.8 0.074 其他病例数< 10的纯种犬101 (16.1) 527 (83.9) 1.2 (0.9–1.7) 1.2 0.246 雪纳瑞10 (34.5) 19 (65.5) 4.7 (2.0-11.1) 3.5 0.003 斯塔福德郡斗牛梗48 (45.3) 58 (54.7) 5.8 (3.6–9.5) 7.2 < 0.001 被毛颜色 深色纯色29 (14.5) 171 (85.5) 1 ---- 白色50 (34.5) 95 (65.5) 3.1 (1.8–5.2) 4.2 < 0.001 白色混合129 (28.9) 318 (71.1) 2.4 (1.5–3.7) 3.8 < 0.001 其他87 (13.0) 582 (87.0) 0.9 (0.6–1.4) -0.6 0.577 未记录0 (0.0) 14 (100.0) 0.0 (0 - + 无穷大) -0.03 0.996 OR:比值比,OR值为1代表参照类别;CI:置信区间

1 3 第9页,共13页 20 《兽医研究通讯》(2027) 51:20 在环境紫外线暴露高的地区发生。鉴于澳大利亚的热带和亚热带环境以及持续较高的紫外线指数,对cSCC的持续监测和相关风险因素的评估至关重要。本研究的结果提供了更新的流行病学见解,以支持更有效的识别、干预和预防。在本研究中,cSCC的解剖分布显示,大多数病例发生在胸腔尾侧区域(54.9%;95% CI:49.2–60.5),其次是趾/甲床(17.3%)、头部(9.2%)和四肢(6.4%)。这一分布与Alves等人(2022)的研究部分一致,该研究也报告病变在腹侧身体区域的发生率较高。然而,当前结果与先前的研究形成对比,先前研究中大多数SCC病例报告于前肢(Belluco et al. 2013; Marconato et al. 2021)和口腔(Strafuss et al. 1976)。在人类中,大多数cSCC病例发生在头颈部(Bibee et al. 2020)和耳廓(Nuño-González et al. 2012)。研究之间的差异可能归因于研究设计、采样策略和所纳入解剖部位的不同,因为一些研究仅关注特定身体区域。cSCC在动物层面风险因素中的频率显示,大多数病例发生在7至11岁的老年犬(58.6%)、雄性(51.5%)、去势雄性(45.1%)、混种犬(28.1%)和白色混合毛色犬(43.7%)。当前发现与报告深色被毛犬cSCC频率较高的研究形成对比(Belluco et al. 2013; Marconato et al. 2021)。然而,人类研究表明cSCC在肤色较浅的个体中更为常见(Parekh and Seykora 2017; Waldman and Schmults 2019),这与浅色色素沉着和紫外线敏感性增加之间的关联一致。当前结果与先前的报告一致,表明cSCC在去势雄性犬(Raleigh et al. 2025)和老年犬(Belluco et al. 2013; Strafuss et al. 1976)中更为常见。同样,先前的研究报告了混种犬中cSCC病例的频率相对较高(Strafuss et al. 1976)。此外,人类研究表明男性和老年人中cSCC负担更高(Green and Olsen 2017; Olsen et al. 2024; Parekh and Seykora 2017; Waldman and Schmults 2019)。相反,其他报告已确定品种特异性易感性,包括雪纳瑞(Marconato et al. 2021)、德国牧羊犬(Strafuss et al. 1976)和金毛寻回犬(Raleigh et al. 2025)。研究之间的差异可能归因于研究人群特征、样本量和每个数据集中所代表品种的差异。此外,老年犬中cSCC频率较高在生物学上是合理的,因为与年龄相关的免疫功能下降和累积紫外线暴露增加了对癌变的易感性。空间分布分析显示,新南威尔士州和昆士兰州与维多利亚州、澳大利亚首都领地、西澳大利亚州和南澳大利亚州相比,cSCC病例频率更高。此外,大多数病例报告自这些州内的沿海地区。核平滑空间分布进一步支持了这一模式。在新南威尔士州和昆士兰州观察到较高频率的部分原因可能是宠物种群密度和绝对犬数量较高,以及获得兽医服务的机会更好。这些州在一年中的大部分时间也经历较高的环境紫外线辐射水平,尤其是在夏季月份。虽然紫外线暴露是使用区域平均紫外线数据而非个体水平测量来评估的,但观察到的地理模式与紫外线辐射通过累积紫外线诱导的皮肤损伤对cSCC风险的可能贡献一致。然而,观察到的空间模式也可能反映VetCompass覆盖率和兽医服务利用率的区域差异。紫外线是犬和许多其他哺乳动物物种中非常明确的致癌物(Willcox et al. 2019)。紫外线暴露与cSCC风险增加之间的关联在人类研究中也一致报道(Green and Olsen 2017; Mueller et al. 2019; Olsen et al. 2024; Waldman and Schmults 2019)。因此,我们的发现与紫外线暴露在犬cSCC发展中可能发挥作用一致,尽管需要纳入个体水平暴露数据的进一步研究来更好地定义这种关系。表6 最终多变量条件回归模型的结果,确定与澳大利亚犬皮肤鳞状细胞癌发生相关的风险因素 变量 类别 OR 95% CI Wald统计量 p值 年龄 成熟(2–6岁)1------ 老年(7–11岁)7.4 5.0-10.8 10.2 < 0.001 高龄(12岁以上)4.8 3.0-7.9 6.3 < 0.001 品种 混种犬1------ 斗牛犬21.2 8.4–53.7 6.4 < 0.001 斑点犬25.7 6.9–95.6 4.8 < 0.001 杰克罗素梗1.2 0.5–2.9 0.5 0.636 其他病例数<10的纯种犬1.5 1.0-2.2 2.1 0.033 雪纳瑞7.1 2.6–19.1 3.8 < 0.001 斯塔福德郡斗牛梗8.5 4.8–15.2 7.2 < 0.001 被毛颜色 深色纯色1------ 白色2.8 1.5–5.2 3.2 < 0.001 白色混合2.5 1.5–4.2 3.3 < 0.001 其他1.1 0.6–1.9 0.3 0.765 未记录0.00 - + 无穷 -0.01 0.996 OR:比值比;OR值为1代表参照类别;CI:置信区间

1 3 20 第10页,共13页《兽医研究通讯》(2027)51:20 多变量条件回归分析显示,与2至6岁的成年犬相比,7至11岁的老年犬(OR = 7.4;95% CI:5.0-10.8)和12岁及以上的高龄犬(OR = 4.8,95% CI:3.0-7.9)发生cSCC的几率显著更高(p ≤ 0.001)。这些发现与既往研究一致,后者报道老年犬(Belluco等,2013;Strafuss等,1976)及人类老年人群(Green和Olsen,2017;Olsen等,2024;Parekh和Seykora,2017;Waldman和Schmults,2019)中cSCC的发生频率更高。年龄增长与致癌风险增加之间的这种关联,与长期紫外线暴露所致的累积性DNA和细胞损伤相一致(Villamil等,2011)。2岁以下犬中无病例出现,进一步支持将cSCC理解为一种由慢性环境紫外线暴露和长潜伏期驱动的疾病,而非急性或发育性过程。在本研究中,与混种犬相比,斑点犬、斗牛犬、斯塔福德郡斗牛梗和雪纳瑞犬发生cSCC的几率显著更高。这些发现支持既往报道,尽管各研究间已记录了品种易感性的显著差异(Er和Sutton,1989;Fonti等,2025;Grüntzig等,2016;Marconato等,2021;Rothwell等,1987;Tompkins等,2020)。本研究中观察到的斑点犬、斯塔福德郡斗牛梗和斗牛犬发生几率更高,可能归因于短毛被、腹侧皮肤毛发稀疏等表型特征,尤其是斑点犬的浅色被毛。这些特征很可能降低光防护能力并增加对紫外线诱导癌变的易感性。在雪纳瑞犬中,KITLG基因表达增加此前已被与趾部SCC的发生相关联(García-Reynoso等,2025),这可能促成了此处观察到的高风险。此外,生活方式和环境因素,包括户外活动模式和累积紫外线暴露,可能进一步影响品种特异性风险特征。多变量条件logistic回归分析还显示,与深色纯色犬相比,白色犬(OR = 2.8;95% CI:1.5–5.2)和白色混色犬(OR = 2.5;95% CI:1.5–4.2)发生cSCC的几率显著更高(p ≤ 0.001)。这一发现与早期研究一致,后者证明浅色被毛是犬SCC发生的明确风险因素(Er和Sutton,1989;Rothwell等,1987;Willcox等,2019)。浅色被毛含有较少的黑色素,而黑色素是吸收紫外线辐射并减轻氧化性DNA损伤的主要光防护色素(Slominski等,2022)。人类研究表明,cSCC在肤色较浅的个体中更为常见(Parekh和Seykora,2017;Waldman和Schmults,2019),进一步支持色素减少与紫外线诱导癌变易感性增加之间的关联。然而,总体研究人群相对较小,导致亚组规模有限、置信区间宽、比值比估计不稳定且精确度降低。这些因素应被视为本研究的主要局限性。此外,病例和对照未按人口学因素匹配,可能引入了混杂。尽管存在这些限制,研究结果仍为澳大利亚背景下影响犬cSCC发生的因素提供了有意义的见解。排除趾部SCC病例后结果的一致性表明,将趾部和非趾部SCC合并纳入并未实质性影响本研究的主要结论。本研究的一个局限性是无法获得个体水平的紫外线暴露数据,限制了多变量分析中对紫外线暴露的评估。总之,胸廓后方的体部是最常受累的解剖区域,与日光暴露皮肤的观察模式一致。空间分析进一步揭示,病例在新南威尔士州和昆士兰州报告更为频繁,尤其是沿海地区。这些发现提供了犬cSCC解剖和地理分布的描述性信息。本研究还证明,品种、年龄和被毛色素沉着是犬cSCC的重要风险因素。老年和高龄犬、浅色被毛犬以及若干特定品种发生cSCC的几率显著增加。建议进一步开展纳入个体患者追踪和紫外线暴露水平直接测量的研究,以更好地表征可能促成犬cSCC发生的环境因素。补充信息 在线版本包含补充材料,可在 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11259-026-11595-5 获取。作者贡献 方法学:J.Z.、H.D.、J.H.。形式分析:J.Z.、H.D.。调查:J.Z.。数据管理:J.Z.、H.D.、J.H.。撰写—初稿:J.Z.、H.D.。撰写—审阅和编辑:J.L.G-S.、J.H.、R.A.。可视化:J.Z.、H.D.。验证:H.D.、J.H.。监督:H.D.、J.L.G-S.、J.H.、R.A.。概念化:R.A.。项目管理:R.A.。资金获取:R.A.。资金 开放获取资金由CAUL及其成员机构促成并组织。本工作得到一笔匿名企业捐款的支持,用于资助关于紫外线相关疾病在澳大利亚宠物群体中重要性的研究。然而,捐赠者未在本文撰写中发挥作用。数据可用性 本研究分析数据的可用性受到限制,数据经VetCompass Australia许可使用,因此数据不公开可用。

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RESEARCH Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11259-026-11595-5 Rachel Allavena r.allavena@uq.edu.au 1 School of Veterinary Science, The University of Queensland, Gatton Qld 4343, Gatton Qld 4343, Australia Abstract Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) is a common canine skin tumour that occurs more frequently in high ultraviolet (UV) environments. Despite Australia’s consistently high UV exposure, large-scale epidemiological studies on canine cSCC are limited. This study investigates the frequency of canine cSCC in Australia, its geographic patterns relative to UV index, and its association with animal-level risk factors. A matched case-control study was conducted using records from the VetCompass database from 1st January 2014 to 31st December 2023. In total, 295 histopathologically confirmed cSCC cases and 1,180 matched controls were included. Frequency statistics of cSCC and animal-level risk factors associated with cSCC were analysed and spatial patterns were mapped. The highest proportions of cases were recorded in Queensland (39.7%) and New South Wales (39.3%), with increased frequency along coastal areas of both states. cSCC cases occurred most frequently on body regions caudal to the thorax (54.9%), in senior dogs (58.6%), in desexed males (45.1%), and in dogs with white mixed coat colour (43.7%). In the final multivariable model, senior (seven to 11 years old) and geriatric (12 + years old) dogs had significantly higher odds of cSCC than mature (two to six years old) dogs (odds ratio = 7.4 and 4.8, respectively; p ≤ 0.001). Risk was also markedly elevated in Dalmatians, bulldogs, Staffordshire terriers, and schnauzers compared with mixed breeds. Dogs with white or white mixed coats had higher odds of cSCC than dark-coated dogs (p ≤ 0.001). cSCC demonstrated anatomical and geographic patterns consistent with chronic UV exposure, with age, breed, and coat pigmentation emerging as risk factors. Keywords Australia · Canine · Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma · Spatial epidemiology · Ultraviolet radiation · VetCompass Received: 21 July 2026 / Accepted: 21 October 2026 © The Author(s) 2026 Demographic and environmental factors associated with canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma development in Australia: a retrospective matched case-control analysis Jingwei Jennifer Zhang 1  · Haileyesus Dejene 1  · José Luis Granados-Soler 1  · Joerg Henning 1  · Rachel Allavena 1 (dos Santos et al. 2023; Łojszczyk et al. 2021; Seok and Lee 2024). It represents approximately 5% of canine skin tumours worldwide, has higher prevalence in tropical countries, and has high local invasiveness but low metastatic potential (Alves et al. 2022; Bastianello 1983; Chikweto et al. 2011; Kok et al. 2019; Kukolj et al. 2021; Mukaratirwa et al. 2005; Santos et al. 2020). Despite having low mortality rates, its prevalence and clinical impact make cSCC an important dermatological and oncological concern in veterinary practice. UV light is a well-established carcinogenic factor in canine cSCC pathogenesis. Multiple studies worldwide have described associations between chronic solar radiation exposure and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) development in dogs (Hargis et al. 1977; Madewell et al. 1981; Nikula et al. 1992; Subapriya et al. 2025). Geographically, higher Introduction Neoplasms account for 15 to 30% of deaths in dogs, making them a major cause of disease-related mortality (Brønden et al. 2010). Their incidence has increased in recent years, with cutaneous tumours reported as the most common type of neoplasia in dogs in many countries (Dobson et al. 2002; Gamlem et al. 2008; Grüntzig et al. 2015; Śmiech et al. 2023). Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) is a malignant tumour arising from keratinocytes in the skin

1 3 20 Page 2 of 13Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 incidences of canine SCC are often found in regions with high average UV intensity (García-Reynoso et al. 2025). Australia receives a very high amount of UV radiation due to being located close to the equator (Gies et al. 2004). UV radiation can be quantitatively measured through the UV index developed by the Australian Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety Agency (ARPANSA). At noon, UV index measurements above 11 are considered extreme (Wright and Norval 2021). The average UV index measured in Australia during peak hours in summer is often greater than 12 to 14, potentially reaching 16 to 17 in northern regions (Gies et al. 2004). However, previous research comparing canine SCC prevalence between tropical Queensland and Melbourne in 1983 failed to identify clear links between regional UV differences and cSCC prevalence (Ladds et al. 1983). This apparent inconsistency highlights the need for an updated analytical overlook. Animal-specific demographic factors such as age, breed and colour impact cSCC occurrence. Although patients of all ages can potentially develop cSCC, the most severely affected population are mature and geriatric dogs (Er and Sutton 1989; Martins et al. 2022). The average age for canine patients to be diagnosed with squamous cell carcinoma falls between seven and nine years, with a small degree of variation amongst different studies (Bastianello 1983; dos Santos et al. 2023; Handrashekaraiah et al. 2011; Rothwell et al. 1987; Strafuss et al. 1976; Villamil et al. 2011). On the other hand, a long list of predisposed breeds has been identified with inconsistencies across studies. Typical at-risk breeds include Dalmatians, Staffordshire bull terriers, schnauzers, Jack Russell terriers, bulldogs and Rottweilers, with many other breeds also occasionally mentioned (dos Santos et al. 2023; Er and Sutton 1989; Fonti et al. 2025; Grüntzig et al. 2016; Kok et al. 2019; Rothwell et al. 1987; Tompkins et al. 2020; Villamil et al. 2011). Contrastingly, boxers are protected from SCC (Fonti et al. 2025; Grüntzig et al. 2016). Previous research also highlighted that canine SCC is more likely to develop on sparsely haired, unpigmented skin or animals with white haircoats, mostly favoring the ventrum and flank (dos Santos et al. 2023; Er and Sutton 1989; Hargis et al. 1977; Madewell et al. 1981; Rothwell et al. 1987; Willcox et al. 2019). However, various alternative locations, such as hindlimb and head, have been occasionally identified (Seok and Lee 2024; Strafuss et al. 1976). Overall, no clear sex-predispositions have been recorded, although a Swiss study found that females had a lower disease risk than males, and another study identified sex-related differences in tumour locations (Er and Sutton 1989; Grüntzig et al. 2016; Kim et al. 2020; Mukaratirwa et al. 2005; Rothwell et al. 1987). Other potential contributors to canine cSCC include papillomavirus infection and previous actinic skin damage (Medeiros-Fonseca et al. 2023; Willcox et al. 2019; Zaugg et al. 2005). Canine digital SCC, although broadly classified into the cSCC group, has different properties. It is more aggressive, has higher metastatic potential, and is more common in large and giant dog breeds with dark haircoats, such as schnauzers (Aupperle-Lellbach et al. 2023; Belluco et al. 2013; Cerezo-Echevarria et al. 2020; Madewell et al. 1982; O’Brien et al. 1992; Wobeser et al. 2007). Despite SCC’s clinical relevance, a very limited number of large-scale Australian studies have been produced, with most being completed several decades ago. Considering that canine squamous cell carcinomas have been found to have higher occurrence rates in tropical countries, opportunities to gain access to relevant Australian data would be highly valuable for both oncological pathological analysis and clinical disease control (Alves et al. 2022). As previous research hypothesized that both intrinsic (age, breed, coat colour) and environmental (UV light exposure) factors significantly influence the development of canine cSCC, this study aimed to estimate its frequency in Australia, examine its geographic distribution and association with UV index level, describe its anatomic distribution, and identify animal-level risk factors associated with its occurrence. Materials and methods Data source The data for this study were extracted from VetCompass Australia, which is a collection of electronic medical records from participating general practice veterinary clinics and specialist referral hospitals across the country. The VetCompass database was searched with specific search terms to find veterinary records entered between 1st January 2014 and 31st December 2023. The database contained clinical records from all major capital cities of Australia except for Darwin and Hobart. Information obtained from the database included age at diagnosis (date of diagnosis minus birth date), sex (including neuter status), coat colour, breed, clinic postcode, statistical area codes, and anatomical location of the neoplasia. Case selection and inclusion criteria The search terms with corresponding abbreviated adjustments were used to identify canine patients diagnosed with cSCC via histopathology. The initial search produced 906 matches from the database and patients were eligible for inclusion if they were histopathologically diagnosed with cSCC between 1st January 2014 and 31st December 2023. A total of 295 canine patients met the inclusion criteria and were selected as cases (Fig. 1).

1 3 Page 3 of 13 20 Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 Control selection Dogs were eligible as controls if they had a clinical record in the VetCompass database during the ten-year study period. For each cSCC case, up to 10 control dogs were randomly selected by matching date of clinic attendance and clinic location with control records entered within a comparable timeframe. Control dogs with fewer than five medical records were excluded, as well as duplicates and dogs that had incomplete documentation. This reduced the number of control dogs available. Thus, for each case, four matched controls were selected, resulting in a total of 1,180 controls selected for the study (Fig. 2). Animal level risk factors Animal level risk factors included age, breed, sex, neuter status, coat colour, tumour anatomical location, and geographical location with corresponding UV level. If information on a risk factor was missing, it was denoted as ‘not recorded’. Age Age was grouped into 0–1 (puppy and juvenile), 2–6 (mature), 7–11 (senior), and 12+ (geriatric) years old based on the categorization method by Harvey (2021). Due to the lack of clinical cases in the 0–1 years category, it was excluded from logistic analysis to produce more representative results. Breed Breed names recorded in the VetCompass database were used in this study. Breeds with high naming similarities (e.g. miniature poodle/standard poodle, miniature schnauzer/standard schnauzer/giant schnauzer, English Staffordshire bull terrier/American Staffordshire bull terrier) were collectively grouped (e.g. both English and American Staffordshire bull terriers were combined into Staffordshire bull terriers) to facilitate larger groups for the risk factor analysis. Similarly, pure breeds with more than 10 cSCC cases were analysed individually, while those with fewer than 10 Fig. 1 Flowchart of the selection process for the canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma cases

1 3 20 Page 4 of 13Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 cases were grouped collectively. Mixed breeds were analysed separately as a group. The bulldog breeds (American bulldog, Australian bulldog, British bulldog, French bulldog and Johnson American bulldog) were also grouped for the risk factor analysis. A second breed classification method, based on Dogs Australia breed groups, was used to categorize both case and control individuals for the descriptive analysis (Dogs Australia 2025). Here, dogs were classified as crossbred dogs, toy dogs, terriers, gundogs, hounds, working dogs, utility dogs, and non-sporting dogs. This additional classification enabled cross-comparison and facilitated pattern recognition. Sex and neuter status The sex and neutering status information as recorded in the VetCompass database were used in the data analysis. The relevant categorizations included male desexed, male entire, female desexed and female entire. Coat colour Coat colour classifications were performed based on the standardized nomenclature of coat colours in dogs from the Federation Cynologique Internationale (Denis 2009). The specific groups were white (dogs with solid white hair coats only), dark solid (dogs with solid black or brown hair coats only), white mixed (dogs with mixed coat colours including white), and others (all other hair coats, including other solid colours, and mixed and modified coats). Such categorizations were made in consideration of the previously identified canine SCC risks associated with coat colour and pigmentation. Tumour location The anatomical tumour locations for all cases were grouped into head, thorax, body (caudal to thorax), limb, and digit/ nailbed, with tumours in any other location (ventral tail, mammary region, and submandibular area) collectively categorized as ‘other’. Geographical location The cSCC cases were summarized at two geographic levels: the Australian state/territory level and the Greater Capital City Statistical Area (GCCSA) level, based on geographical information obtained from the VetCompass Australia database. The dataset contained Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) information corresponding to the geographic areas of the dog owners. Therefore, the geographical information used in this study represented the owners’ residential areas rather than the locations of the veterinary clinics where the dogs received veterinary care. The SA2 information enabled cases to be grouped and summarised geographically and subsequently aggregated to the state/ territory and GCCSA levels. Separating the data in this way allowed for comparisons of statewide and major metropolitan area patterns. Fig. 2 Flowchart of the selection process for the control group

1 3 Page 5 of 13 20 Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 UV-exposure proxies To determine UV-exposure proxies, anatomical sites were classified as UV-exposed (head, limbs, thorax, and body caudal to the thorax) or non-UV-exposed (digit/nailbed and other locations), reflecting the recognised predilection of canine cSCC for sun-exposed, lightly pigmented, or thinlyhaired skin (Vilar-Saavedra and Kitchell 2014; Veterinary Society of Surgical Oncology 2025). For coat-based UV susceptibility, white and white mixed coats were categorised as highly UV-susceptible, whereas dark solid and other coat colours were classified as less UV-susceptible, based on the protective role of pigmentation against UV radiation (Veterinary Society of Surgical Oncology 2025). This UV- proxy classification was then applied to interpret frequency patterns in the anatomical distribution of lesions and coatcolour characteristics among affected dogs. In addition, to compare clinical data with environmental UV levels, clinic locations where cases had been seen were grouped by major Australian cities (Adelaide, Brisbane, Gold Coast, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney). Clinics outside these cities were excluded, yielding n = 135 for this analysis. City-level UV index data were obtained from ARPANSA and matched to corresponding case and control locations. All available noon (12:00 PM) UV index values for each city were extracted, and the mean noon UV index was used as the representative environmental exposure measure. UV index categories followed the ARPANSA scale: low (1–2), moderate (3–5), high (6–7), very high (8–10), and extreme (11+) (Australian Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety Agency 2025). Statistical analysis Descriptive analyses were performed in R (R Core Team 2025). Demographic and clinical variables for cases and controls were summarised using tidyr for data reshaping (Wickham et al. 2025), tidyverse for data manipulation and visualisation (Wickham et al. 2019), and DescTools for descriptive statistics, including proportions and 95% confidence intervals (Signorell 2025). Categorical variables were reported as counts and percentages with 95% confidence intervals. The spatial distribution of cSCC frequency was mapped across Australian Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) regions in QGIS 3.20. To further characterise spatial variation, kernel smoothing was applied in R 4.5.1 using raster() (Pebesma 2018) and ks() (Duong 2025). This produced a continuous smoothed surface of cSCC frequency, allowing examination of broader spatial trends. Bandwidth was estimated using the plug-in method (Hpi) and then doubled to provide additional smoothing in the final kernel density estimation. The final raster output illustrated estimated spatial intensity per SA2 region. Risk factor analyses were conducted on the individual-dog level using a matched case-control design, with each cSCC case paired with four control dogs (Henning et al. 2009). Conditional logistic regression was performed using survival::clogit() (Therneau 2024) to assess risk factors associated with cSCC, applying conditional likelihood appropriate for matched data (Gail et al. 1981). Potential risk factors included sex, sex/neuter status, breed category, coat-colour group and age group, and were processed using broom::tidy() (Robinson et al. 2025). Model outputs were presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) and p-values using gtsummary::tbl_regression(exponentiate = TRUE) (Sjoberg et al. 2021). Variables with p ≤ 0.25 in univariable analyses (Henning et al. 2009) were selected in multivariable modelling. Model diagnostics included likelihood ratio tests for nested models and AIC/BIC for non-nested model comparison. Multicollinearity was assessed using variance inflation factors (VIFs) from the car package (Fox et al. 2024), with VIF < 5 used as the threshold for acceptable collinearity (O’Brien 2007). Statistical significance was defined as p ≤ 0.05. A sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding digital/nailbed SCC cases (n = 51) and their matched controls and repeating all conditional logistic regression analyses. Results Characteristics of the canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma cases Among the cSCC cases, the majority were senior dogs (58.6%; 95% CI: 53.0-64.1). A substantial proportion of cases also involved desexed male dogs (45.1%; 95% CI: 39.5–50.8), breeds represented by fewer than 10 cases (34.2%; 95% CI: 29.1–39.8), and dogs with white mixed coat colours (43.7%; 95% CI: 38.2–49.4) (Table 1). A total of 48 canine breeds, including mixed breeds as a collective category, were diagnosed with cSCC in this study. The highest proportion of cases occurred in mixed-breed dogs (n = 83; 28.1%), followed by Staffordshire bull terriers (n = 48; 16.3%), Dalmatians (n = 20; 6.8%), and American bulldogs (n = 15; 5.1%) (Online Resource 1). The most common location for cSCC was in body parts caudal to the thorax (54.9%; 95% CI: 49.2–60.5) (Table 2). In contrast, the lowest frequency was recorded in the category labelled other, which included the ventral tail, mammary region, and submandibular area (1.7%; 95% CI: 0.7–3.9) (Table 2).

1 3 20 Page 6 of 13Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 Spatial distribution of canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma in Australia Table 3 shows the distribution of cSCC cases across the Australian states/territories, and greater capital city statistical areas. The highest proportions of cases were observed in Queensland (39.7%; 95% CI: 34.0-45.5) and New South Wales (39.3%; 95% CI: 33.7–45.2). At the level of greater capital territory regions, the highest percentage of cSCC cases occurred in the rest of Queensland (24.1%; 95% CI: 19.3–29.4), followed by the rest of New South Wales (22.7%; 95% CI: 18.1–27.9), greater Sydney (16.6%; 95% CI: 12.6–21.4), and greater Brisbane (15.6%; 95% CI: 11.7–20.3). In this study, 110 SA2 regions across Australia reported cases of cSCC. Most cases occurred in Queensland, followed by New South Wales and Victoria. In addition, the spatial analysis shows that case concentrations were strongly clustered along the coastal areas of these states, indicating a geographically aggregated distribution pattern (Fig. 3). Similarly, the kernel-smoothed frequency map in Online Resource 2 highlights distinct hotspot regions along the coastal areas of Queensland and New South Wales, indicating higher concentrations of cSCC cases in these zones. Table 4; Fig. 4 presents the reported cSCC case frequencies and average annual UV index for the six Australian cities with the highest numbers of reported cases. Gold Coast and Sydney recorded the highest numbers of cSCC cases. The average annual UV index varied across the selected cities, with the highest values observed in the Gold Coast Table 1 Demographic characteristics of 295 cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma cases in Australian dogs VariableCategoryFrequencyPercentage (95% CI) AgeMature (2–6 yrs)6923.4 (18.9–28.5) Senior (7–11 yrs)17358.6 (53.0-64.1) Geriatric (12 + yrs)5318.0 (14.0-22.8) SexFemale14348.5 (42.8–54.2) Male15251.5 (45.8–57.2) Neuter status Female intact144.8 (2.9–7.8) Female desexed12943.7 (38.2–49.4) Male intact196.4 (4.2–9.8) Male desexed13345.1 (39.5–50.8) BreedMixed breed8328.1 (23.3–33.5) Bulldog237.8 (5.3–11.4) Dalmatian206.8 (4.4–10.2) Jack Russell terrier103.4 (1.9–6.1) Other pure breeds with < 10 cases 10134.2 (29.1–39.8) Schnauzer103.4 (1.9–6.1) Staffordshire bull terrier 4816.3 (12.5–20.9) Breed group Crossbred dogs9431.8 (26.8–37.4) Toy dogs41.4 (0.5–3.4) Terriers7324.8 (20.2–29.9) Gundogs217.1 (4.7–10.6) Hounds186.1 (3.9–9.4) Working dogs124.1 (2.3–6.9) Utility dogs289.5 (6.7–13.4) Non-sporting dogs4515.2 (11.6–19.8) Coat colourDark solid299.8 (6.9–13.8) White5017.0 (13.1–21.7) White mixed12943.7 (38.2–49.4) Other8729.5 (24.6–34.9) CI: Confidence interval Table 2 Frequency distributions of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma across anatomical locations in 295 Australian dogs Anatomical locationFrequencyPercentage (95% CI) Body caudal to thorax16254.9 (49.2–60.5) Digit/nailbed5117.3 (13.4–22.0) Head279.2 (6.4–12.9) Limbs196.4 (4.2–9.8) Not recorded175.8 (3.6-9.0) Thorax144.7 (2.9–7.8) Other51.7 (0.7–3.9) CI: Confidence interval Table 3 Distribution of 295 canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma cases by Australian state/territory, and by greater capital city statistical area VariableCategoryFrequencyPercentage (95% CI) State/territoryQueensland11739.7 (34.0-45.5) New South Wales11639.3 (33.7–45.2) Victoria3712.5 (9.0-16.9) Australian Capital Territory 103.4 (1.6–6.2) Western Australia82.7 (1.2–5.3) South Australia72.4 (0.9–4.8) Greater capital city statistical area Rest of Queensland7124.1 (19.3–29.4) Rest of New South Wales 6722.7 (18.1–27.9) Greater Sydney4916.6 (12.6–21.4) Greater Brisbane4615.6 (11.7–20.3) Greater Melbourne3110.5 (7.3–14.6) Australian Capital Territory 103.4 (1.6–6.2) Greater Perth82.7 (1.2–5.3) Rest of Victoria62.0 (0.8–4.4) Greater Adelaide51.7 (0.6–3.9) Rest of South Australia 20.7 (0.1–2.4) CI: Confidence interval

1 3 Page 7 of 13 20 Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 and Perth and the lowest in Melbourne. The scatter plot was used to visually compare case frequencies with average UV index levels; no statistical test of association was performed. Therefore, these findings should be interpreted as Table 4 Canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma case frequency (n = 135) and UV index across major Australian cities CityFrequencyPercentage (95% CI)Average UV index Gold Coast3828.2 (21.3–36.3)6.4 Sydney3828.2 (21.3–36.3)5.4 Melbourne3122.9 (16.7–30.8)4.6 Brisbane1511.1 (6.9–17.5)6.3 Perth85.9 (3.0-11.3)6.4 Adelaide53.7 (1.6–8.4)5.6 CI: Confidence interval Fig. 4 Scatter plot showing the descriptive comparison between the percentage of reported canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (cSCC) cases and average annual UV index among the six Australian cities with the highest numbers of reported cases (n = 135 cases)

Fig. 3 Spatial distribution of canine cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma frequency across SA2 regions in (a) Australia and (b) Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria

1 3 20 Page 8 of 13Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 descriptive observations rather than evidence of an association between UV exposure and cSCC occurrence. When cities were classified using ARPANSA UV-exposure categories, all fell within the moderate (UV 3–5) or high (UV 6–7) ranges, with none in the extreme categories. A slightly greater proportion of observations occurred under moderate UV levels (n = 74; 54.8%) compared with high UV levels (n = 61; 45.2%). Risk factor analysis The univariable conditional regression analysis indicated that age was a strong predictor of disease risk. Senior dogs had 5.7 times higher odds of developing cSCC (95% CI: 4.2–7.9), and geriatric dogs had 3.8 times higher odds (95% CI: 2.5–5.7), compared with mature dogs (p ≤ 0.001). Dogs with white coats exhibited 3.1 times higher odds (95% CI: 1.8–5.2), and those with white mixed coat colours showed 2.4 times higher odds (95% CI: 1.5–3.7), relative to dogs with dark solid coat colours (p ≤ 0.001). Additionally, Dalmatians (OR = 34.9; 95% CI: 10.2-120.3) and bulldogs (OR = 14.7; 95% CI: 6.7–32.2) had markedly higher odds of developing cSCC compared with mixed-breed dogs, and these associations were statistically significant (p ≤ 0.001) (Table 5). To evaluate the potential influence of digital SCC on the observed associations, a sensitivity analysis was conducted after excluding all digital/nailbed SCC cases (n = 51) and their matched controls. Results of the univariable and multivariable conditional logistic regression analyses are presented in Supplementary Tables S1 and S2, respectively. The findings were largely unchanged from the primary analysis. In the multivariable final model, age remained a strong predictor of cSCC occurrence. Senior dogs had significantly higher odds of developing cSCC (OR = 7.4; 95% CI: 5.0-10.8), as did geriatric dogs (OR = 4.8; 95% CI: 2.9–7.9), compared with mature dogs (p ≤ 0.001). Breed was also significantly associated with cSCC risk. Dalmatians (OR = 25.7; 95% CI: 6.9–95.6), bulldogs (OR = 21.2; 95% CI: 8.4–53.7), Staffordshire terriers (OR = 8.5; 95% CI: 4.8–15.2), and schnauzers (OR = 7.1; 95% CI: 2.6–19.1) exhibited markedly higher odds of cSCC occurrence compared with mixed breed dogs, with all associations statistically significant (p ≤ 0.001) (Table 6). Discussion Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma is a significant canine skin tumour, accounting for approximately 5% of skin tumours worldwide, with higher prevalence reported in tropical regions (Alves et al. 2022; Kukolj et al. 2021; Santos et al. 2020). UV radiation is a well-established carcinogenic factor in its pathogenesis, contributing to increased Table 5 Results of the univariable conditional regression analysis examining the associations between cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma and animal-level risk factors in Australian dogs VariableCategory Case Freq. (%) (n = 295) Control Freq. (%) (n = 1180) OR (95% CI)Wald Stat. p-value AgeMature (2–6 yrs)69 (9.0)694 (91.0)1---- Senior (7–11 yrs)173 (35.0)321 (65.0)5.7 (4.2–7.9)10.5< 0.001 Geriatric (12 + yrs)53 (24.3)165 (75.7)3.8 (2.5–5.7)6.1< 0.001 SexFemale143 (19.2)601 (80.8)1---- Male152 (20.8)579 (79.2)1.1 (0.9–1.4)0.80.451 Neuter statusFemale intact14 (14.1)85 (85.9)1---- Female desexed129 (20.0)517 (80.0)1.5 (0.8–2.8)1.40.171 Male intact19 (16.4)97 (83.6)1.2 (0.6–2.5)0.50.643 Male desexed133 (21.7)481 (78.3)1.7 (0.9–3.1)1.70.087 BreedMixed breed83 (13.5)531 (86.5)1---- Bulldog23 (69.7)10 (30.3)14.7 (6.7–32.2)6.7< 0.001 Dalmatian20 (87.0)3 (13.0)34.9 (10.2-120.3)5.6< 0.001 Jack Russell terrier10 (23.8)32 (76.2)2.0 (0.9–4.3)1.80.074 Other pure breeds with < 10 cases101 (16.1)527 (83.9)1.2 (0.9–1.7)1.20.246 Schnauzer10 (34.5)19 (65.5)4.7 (2.0-11.1)3.50.003 Staffordshire bull terrier48 (45.3)58 (54.7)5.8 (3.6–9.5)7.2< 0.001 Coat colourDark solid29 (14.5)171 (85.5)1---- White50 (34.5)95 (65.5)3.1 (1.8–5.2)4.2< 0.001 White mixed129 (28.9)318 (71.1)2.4 (1.5–3.7)3.8< 0.001 Other87 (13.0)582 (87.0)0.9 (0.6–1.4)-0.60.577 Not recorded0 (0.0)14 (100.0)0.0 (0 - + infinity)-0.030.996 OR: Odds ratio, OR with value of 1 represents the reference category; CI: Confidence interval

1 3 Page 9 of 13 20 Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 occurrence in areas with high ambient UV exposure. Given Australia’s tropical and subtropical environments and consistently high UV indices, ongoing monitoring of cSCC and evaluation of associated risk factors are essential. The findings of this study provide updated epidemiological insight to support more effective identification, intervention, and prevention. In the current study, the anatomical distribution of cSCC showed that most cases occurred in regions caudal to the thorax (54.9%; 95% CI: 49.2–60.5), followed by the digit/ nailbed (17.3%), head (9.2%), and limbs (6.4%). This distribution aligns partially with the study by Alves et al. (2022), who also reported a higher occurrence of lesions in ventral body regions. However, the current results contrast with previous studies in which most SCC cases were reported in the forelimbs (Belluco et al. 2013; Marconato et al. 2021) and oral cavity (Strafuss et al. 1976). In humans, most cSCC cases develop on the head and neck (Bibee et al. 2020) and pinna of the ear (Nuño-González et al. 2012). The discrepancies between studies are likely due to differences in study design, sampling strategies, and the anatomical sites included, as some investigations focused exclusively on specific body regions. The frequency of cSCC across animal-level risk factors showed that most cases occurred in senior dogs aged seven to 11 years old, (58.6%), males (51.5%), desexed males (45.1%), mixed breeds (28.1%), and white mixed-coloured dogs (43.7%). The current findings contrast with studies that reported a higher frequency of cSCC in dark-coated dogs (Belluco et al. 2013; Marconato et al. 2021). However, studies in humans have shown that cSCC is more common in fair-skinned individuals (Parekh and Seykora 2017; Waldman and Schmults 2019), which aligns with the association between lighter pigmentation and increased UV sensitivity. The current results are consistent with previous reports indicating that cSCC is more frequent in castrated male dogs (Raleigh et al. 2025) and older dogs (Belluco et al. 2013; Strafuss et al. 1976). Similarly, previous studies have reported a relatively high frequency of cSCC cases among mixed-breed dogs (Strafuss et al. 1976). In addition, human studies have shown a higher burden of cSCC among men and older adults (Green and Olsen 2017; Olsen et al. 2024; Parekh and Seykora 2017; Waldman and Schmults 2019). In contrast, other reports have identified breed-specific predispositions, including schnauzers (Marconato et al. 2021), German shepherds (Strafuss et al. 1976), and golden retrievers (Raleigh et al. 2025). The discrepancies between studies might be due to differences in study population characteristics, sample size, and the breeds represented in each dataset. Additionally, the higher frequency of cSCC in older dogs is biologically plausible, as age-related declines in immune function and cumulative UV exposure increase susceptibility to carcinogenesis. The spatial distribution analysis showed that New South Wales and Queensland were associated with higher cSCC case frequencies than Victoria, the Australian Capital Territory, Western Australia and South Australia. In addition, most cases were reported from coastal areas within these states. The kernel-smoothed spatial distribution further supported this pattern. The higher frequency observed in New South Wales and Queensland may be partly explained by higher pet population densities and absolute dog numbers, as well as better access to veterinary services. These states also experience high ambient UV radiation levels for much of the year, particularly during summer months. While UV exposure was assessed using regional average UV data rather than individual-level measurements, the observed geographic patterns are consistent with a potential contribution of UV radiation to cSCC risk through cumulative UV-induced skin damage. However, the observed spatial pattern may also reflect regional differences in VetCompass coverage and veterinary service utilisation. Ultraviolet light is a very well-established carcinogen in dogs and many other mammalian species (Willcox et al. 2019). Associations between UV exposure and increased cSCC risk have also been consistently reported in human studies (Green and Olsen 2017; Mueller et al. 2019; Olsen et al. 2024; Waldman and Schmults 2019). Therefore, our findings are consistent with a possible role for UV exposure in canine cSCC development, although further studies incorporating individual-level exposure data are needed to better define this relationship. Table 6 Results of the final multivariable conditional regression model identifying risk factors associated with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma occurrence in Australian dogs VariableCategoryOR95% CIWald Stat. p-value AgeMature (2–6 yrs)1------ Senior (7–11 yrs)7.45.0-10.810. 2< 0.001 Geriatric (12 + yrs)4.83.0-7.96.3< 0.001 BreedMixed breed1------ Bulldog21.28.4–53.76.4< 0.001 Dalmatian25.76.9–95.64.8< 0.001 Jack Russell terrier1.20.5–2.90.50.636 Other pure breeds with < 10 cases 1.51.0-2.22.10.033 Schnauzer7.12.6–19.13.8< 0.001 Staffordshire bull terrier 8.54.8–15.27.2< 0.001 Coat colour Dark solid1------ White2.81.5–5.23.2< 0.001 White mixed2.51.5–4.23.3< 0.001 Other1.10.6–1.90.30.765 Not recorded0.00 - + infinity -0.010.996 OR: Odds ratio; OR with value of 1 represents the reference category; CI: Confidence interval

1 3 20 Page 10 of 13Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 The multivariable conditional regression analysis showed that the odds of cSCC occurrence were significantly higher in senior dogs aged seven to 11 years (OR = 7.4; 95% CI: 5.0-10.8) and in geriatric dogs aged 12 years and older (OR = 4.8, 95% CI: 3.0-7.9) compared with mature dogs aged two to six years (p ≤ 0.001). These findings align with previous studies reporting a higher frequency of cSCC in older dogs (Belluco et al. 2013; Strafuss et al. 1976) and in older adults in human populations (Green and Olsen 2017; Olsen et al. 2024; Parekh and Seykora 2017; Waldman and Schmults 2019). This association between advancing age and increased oncogenic risk is consistent with the cumulative DNA and cellular damage caused by prolonged UV light exposure (Villamil et al. 2011). The absence of cases in dogs younger than two years further supports the understanding of cSCC as a disease driven by chronic environmental ultraviolet exposure and long latency, rather than an acute or developmental process. In the current study, the odds of cSCC occurrence were significantly higher in Dalmatians, bulldogs, Staffordshire bull terriers, and schnauzers compared with mixed-breed dogs. These findings support previous reports, although substantial variation in breed susceptibility has been documented across studies (Er and Sutton 1989; Fonti et al. 2025; Grüntzig et al. 2016; Marconato et al. 2021; Rothwell et al. 1987; Tompkins et al. 2020). The higher odds of occurrence observed in Dalmatians, Staffordshire bull terriers, and bulldogs seen in this study may be attributable to phenotypic traits such as short haircoats, sparsely haired ventral skin, and, particularly in Dalmatians, lightly pigmented coats. These features are likely to reduce photoprotection and increase susceptibility to UV-induced carcinogenesis. In schnauzers, increased KITLG gene expression has been previously linked to digital SCC development (García- Reynoso et al. 2025), which may contribute to the elevated risk observed here. Additionally, lifestyle and environmental factors, including outdoor activity patterns and cumulative UV exposure, may further influence breed-specific risk profiles. The multivariable conditional logistic regression analysis also showed that the odds of cSCC occurrence were significantly higher in white coloured dogs (OR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.5–5.2) and white mixed-coloured dogs (OR = 2.5; 95% CI: 1.5–4.2) compared with dark solid-coloured dogs (p ≤ 0.001). This finding aligns with earlier studies demonstrating that lightly pigmented haircoats are a well-established risk factor for canine SCC development (Er and Sutton 1989; Rothwell et al. 1987; Willcox et al. 2019). Lightly pigmented coats contain lower melanin, which is the primary photoprotective pigment that absorbs UV radiation and mitigates oxidative DNA damage (Slominski et al. 2022). Studies in humans have shown that cSCC is more common in fair-skinned individuals (Parekh and Seykora 2017; Waldman and Schmults 2019), further supporting the link between reduced pigmentation and increased vulnerability to UV-induced carcinogenesis. However, the overall study population was relatively small, resulting in limited subgroup sizes, wide confidence intervals, unstable odds ratio estimates and reduced precision. These factors should be considered key limitations of the current study. Additionally, cases and controls were not matched by demographic factors, which may have introduced confounding. Despite these constraints, the findings still provide meaningful insight into the factors influencing cSCC development in dogs in the Australian context. The consistency of findings following exclusion of digital SCC cases suggests that inclusion of digital and non-digital SCCs together did not materially influence the principal conclusions of the study. A limitation of this study is that individual-level UV exposure data were unavailable, limiting the assessment of UV exposure in the multivariable analysis. In conclusion, the body caudal to thorax emerged as the most affected anatomical region, aligning with patterns observed in sun-exposed skin. Spatial analysis further revealed that cases were more frequently reported in New South Wales and Queensland, particularly within coastal regions. These findings provide descriptive information on the anatomical and geographical distribution of cSCC in dogs. This study also demonstrated that breed, age, and coat pigmentation are significant risk factors for cSCC in dogs. Senior and geriatric dogs, dogs with lightly pigmented coats, and several specific breeds showed markedly increased odds of developing cSCC. Further research incorporating individual patient tracking and direct measurement of UV exposure levels is recommended to better characterise environmental factors that may contribute to cSCC development in dogs. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at h t t p s : / / d o i . o r g / 1 0 . 1 0 0 7 / s 1 1 2 5 9 - 0 2 6 - 1 1 5 9 5 - 5 . Author contributions Methodology: J.Z., H.D., J.H. Formal analysis: J.Z., H.D. Investigation: J.Z. Data curation: J.Z., H.D., J.H. Writingoriginal draft: J.Z., H.D. Writing-review and editing: J.L.G-S., J.H., R.A. Visualisation: J. Z., H.D. Validation: H.D., J.H. Supervision: H.D., J.L.G-S., J.H., R.A. Conceptualisation: R.A. Project administration: R.A. Funding acquisition: R.A. Funding Open Access funding enabled and organized by CAUL and its Member Institutions. This work was supported by an anonymous corporate donation to fund research on the importance of UV associated disease in Australian pet populations. However, the donor did not have a role in the writing of this article. Data availability Restrictions apply to the availability of the data analysed in this study, which were used with permission from VetCompass Australia, and so the data are not publicly available.

1 3 Page 11 of 13 20 Veterinary Research Communications (2027) 51:20 Declarations Ethics approval This study was approved by the University of Sydney Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC) which maintains ethical approval for VetCompass Australia. Competing interests Financial interests: José Luis Granados-Soler reports financial support (salary) was provided by an anonymous corporate donation. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. 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